Playoff hopes are feeling secure for some and slipping out of reach for others. Let’s see how the league is shaping up!
Weekly Update
Title Belt
In Week 5, Necessary Roughness took the title belt from Kali Warriors. This week they look to defend the title from The Death Eaters.
Scoring by Division
| Rank | Division Name | Points For | Wins | Average PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cerberus | 2300.04 | 10 | 153.34 |
| 2 | The Resistance | 2647.50 | 7 | 176.50 |
| 3 | Division By Zero | 2497.22 | 7 | 166.48 |
| 4 | High Flyers | 2338.14 | 6 | 155.88 |
Cerberus continues to lead the league in wins while trailing the league in everything else. #Efficiency
Points Leaders
Points For
| Rank | Team Name | Points For | Change | Points Behind Lead | Points Behind Next Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tricksters | 1018.02 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 2 | Detroit Wolverines | 924.44 | 1 | 93.58 | 93.58 |
| 3 | Bling Bling | 859.06 | -1 | 158.96 | 65.38 |
| 4 | speed-demons | 836.54 | 0 | 181.48 | 22.52 |
| 5 | Red Warriors | 834.58 | 0 | 183.44 | 1.96 |
| 6 | Winged Hussars | 816.36 | 2 | 201.66 | 18.22 |
| 7 | Pegasus | 814.16 | 0 | 203.86 | 2.20 |
| 8 | Necessary Roughness | 792.94 | 1 | 225.08 | 21.22 |
| 9 | Kali Warriors | 774.00 | -3 | 244.02 | 18.94 |
| 10 | Not Lucky | 713.72 | 0 | 304.30 | 60.28 |
| 11 | Golden Eagles | 707.62 | 0 | 310.40 | 6.10 |
| 12 | The Death Eaters | 691.46 | 0 | 326.56 | 16.16 |
Manager Ranking
Here’s the current grade for each team based on how well they managed their starting lineup throughout the season.
| Rank | Team Name | Points For | Max PF | Manager Grade | Curved | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tricksters | 1018.02 | 1174.34 | 86.69% | 100.00% | 2 |
| 2 | Bling Bling | 859.06 | 1012.10 | 84.88% | 98.19% | -1 |
| 3 | speed-demons | 836.54 | 1036.26 | 80.73% | 94.04% | 1 |
| 4 | Pegasus | 814.16 | 1017.46 | 80.02% | 93.33% | 4 |
| 5 | Red Warriors | 834.58 | 1051.86 | 79.34% | 92.65% | 1 |
| 6 | Detroit Wolverines | 924.44 | 1165.38 | 79.33% | 92.64% | -1 |
| 7 | Necessary Roughness | 792.94 | 1000.54 | 79.25% | 92.56% | 3 |
| 8 | Winged Hussars | 816.36 | 1061.58 | 76.90% | 90.21% | 1 |
| 9 | Golden Eagles | 707.62 | 934.02 | 75.76% | 89.07% | -2 |
| 10 | Kali Warriors | 774.00 | 1048.46 | 73.82% | 87.13% | 1 |
| 11 | The Death Eaters | 691.46 | 948.96 | 72.87% | 86.18% | -9 |
| 12 | Not Lucky | 713.72 | 1039.34 | 68.67% | 81.98% | 0 |
Power Rankings Table
| TEAM NAME | POWER RANK | CHANGE | RECORD | OVERALL WINS | PPG | R.O.S. ROSTER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tricksters | #1 | 0 |
4-1 | 44-11 | #1, 204ppg | #1 |
| Detroit Wolverines | #2 | 0 |
4-1 | 45-10 | #2, 185ppg | #4 |
| Red Warriors | #3 | 1 |
4-1 | 29-26 | #5, 167ppg | #3 |
| Bling Bling | #4 | 1 |
2-3 | 33-22 | #3, 172ppg | #5 |
| Kali Warriors | #5 | -2 |
4-1 | 26-29 | #9, 155ppg | #2 |
| Pegasus | #6 | 0 |
3-2 | 26-29 | #7, 163ppg | #8 |
| Winged Hussars | #7 | 1 |
2-3 | 26-29 | #6, 163ppg | #6 |
| speed-demons | #8 | -1 |
1-4 | 28-27 | #4, 167ppg | #7 |
| Necessary Roughness | #9 | 0 |
2-3 | 23-32 | #8, 159ppg | #9 |
| The Death Eaters | #10 | 1 |
2-3 | 15-40 | #12, 138ppg | #11 |
| Not Lucky | #11 | -1 |
1-4 | 18-37 | #10, 143ppg | #10 |
| Golden Eagles | #12 | 0 |
1-4 | 17-38 | #11, 142ppg | #12 |
Power Rankings Over Time
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Notes:
- After a very poor performance, Kali Warriors plunges further in the power rankings, despite sitting at 4-1. I wager luck may be running out for me, but we’ll see what the next few weeks bring with McCaffrey’s return soon and Alexander Mattison’s temporary lead back role.
- Tricksters and Detroit Wolverines are battling for that top spot, but Tricksters’ consistently lights-out performances mean that for the time being they have that #1 ranking on lock.
- Not Lucky has tanked down to #11, and they threaten to disrupt the Golden Eagles’ 5-week streak of being at the bottom. We’ll have to see who underperforms harder.
- Keep an eye on Winged Hussars; they’ve crept up the rankings and in terms of overall wins and PPG, they match their division leader, Pegasus.
Playoff Odds
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Playoff Probability | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tricksters | 77.45% | 21.15% | 1.29% | 0.09% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 100.00% | 0.00% |
| Detroit Wolverines | 21.97% | 72.75% | 4.21% | 0.29% | 0.70% | 0.09% | 100.00% | 0.25% |
| Red Warriors | 0.29% | 3.19% | 54.46% | 18.37% | 9.93% | 5.22% | 91.45% | 40.78% |
| Bling Bling | 0.04% | 0.60% | 0.14% | 0.02% | 46.71% | 33.63% | 81.13% | -16.42% |
| Pegasus | 0.08% | 0.72% | 18.66% | 47.58% | 2.96% | 2.26% | 72.24% | -8.72% |
| speed-demons | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 8.41% | 47.31% | 55.72% | -7.73% |
| Kali Warriors | 0.18% | 1.43% | 15.60% | 6.22% | 22.90% | 0.49% | 46.82% | -31.07% |
| Winged Hussars | 0.01% | 0.16% | 5.54% | 26.86% | 3.75% | 9.14% | 45.46% | 16.23% |
| Necessary Roughness | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.86% | 1.85% | 5.72% | 5.53% |
| The Death Eaters | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.08% | 0.18% | 0.65% | 0.00% | 0.91% | 0.79% |
| Golden Eagles | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.40% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.46% | 0.41% |
| Not Lucky | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.07% | 0.02% | 0.09% | -0.06% |
Columns 1-6 represent each seed and the given team’s chances of getting that particular seed.
Notes:
- While, of course, anything can happen, it’s difficult to see this simulation being wrong about the Tricksters and Wolverines being locked in for a playoff berth. Even if one of them manages to lose their division, they also lead the rest of the league in Points For by a pretty wide margin, so at the very least they’d get a 6 seed, barring complete and total implosion in the upcoming weeks.
- The Red Warriors have surged up by 40% after a couple good performances on their part and a couple bad performances on division rival Kali Warriors’ part.
- Pegasus is falling as the Winged Hussars slowly rise 👀
Remainder of Schedule Calculations
Here’s a breakdown of what odds the simulation gave for each team in each matchup for the remainder of the season. At the very least, this should give you an idea of how difficult the rest of your season looks.
Week 6
| Team 1 | Team 2 |
|---|---|
| Kali Warriors | Not Lucky |
| 61.46% | 38.54% |
| Golden Eagles | Bling Bling |
| 21.00% | 79.00% |
| Winged Hussars | Detroit Wolverines |
| 26.32% | 73.69% |
| The Death Eaters | Necessary Roughness |
| 25.94% | 74.06% |
| Red Warriors | Tricksters |
| 6.09% | 93.91% |
| speed-demons | Pegasus |
| 54.32% | 45.68% |
Week 7
| Team 1 | Team 2 |
|---|---|
| Kali Warriors | speed-demons |
| 37.88% | 62.12% |
| Golden Eagles | Red Warriors |
| 18.04% | 81.96% |
| Winged Hussars | The Death Eaters |
| 72.00% | 28.00% |
| Bling Bling | Tricksters |
| 18.13% | 81.87% |
| Necessary Roughness | Detroit Wolverines |
| 5.51% | 94.49% |
| Pegasus | Not Lucky |
| 69.18% | 30.82% |
Week 8
| Team 1 | Team 2 |
|---|---|
| Kali Warriors | Bling Bling |
| 33.50% | 66.50% |
| Golden Eagles | The Death Eaters |
| 52.92% | 47.08% |
| Winged Hussars | Necessary Roughness |
| 55.30% | 44.70% |
| Red Warriors | Not Lucky |
| 79.92% | 20.08% |
| speed-demons | Detroit Wolverines |
| 27.47% | 72.53% |
| Tricksters | Pegasus |
| 86.89% | 13.11% |
Week 9
| Team 1 | Team 2 |
|---|---|
| Kali Warriors | Winged Hussars |
| 42.49% | 57.51% |
| Golden Eagles | speed-demons |
| 25.42% | 74.58% |
| The Death Eaters | Detroit Wolverines |
| 6.49% | 93.51% |
| Red Warriors | Pegasus |
| 55.76% | 44.24% |
| Bling Bling | Necessary Roughness |
| 67.51% | 32.49% |
| Tricksters | Not Lucky |
| 95.03% | 4.97% |
Week 10
| Team 1 | Team 2 |
|---|---|
| Kali Warriors | Pegasus |
| 42.27% | 57.74% |
| Golden Eagles | Necessary Roughness |
| 28.52% | 71.48% |
| Winged Hussars | Tricksters |
| 15.65% | 84.35% |
| The Death Eaters | Bling Bling |
| 19.30% | 80.70% |
| Red Warriors | Detroit Wolverines |
| 6.17% | 93.83% |
| speed-demons | Not Lucky |
| 73.29% | 26.71% |
Week 11
| Team 1 | Team 2 |
|---|---|
| Kali Warriors | Red Warriors |
| 33.98% | 66.02% |
| Golden Eagles | Pegasus |
| 29.37% | 70.63% |
| Winged Hussars | speed-demons |
| 46.31% | 53.69% |
| The Death Eaters | Not Lucky |
| 45.77% | 54.23% |
| Bling Bling | Detroit Wolverines |
| 32.15% | 67.86% |
| Tricksters | Necessary Roughness |
| 95.49% | 4.51% |
Week 12
| Team 1 | Team 2 |
|---|---|
| Kali Warriors | Detroit Wolverines |
| 16.66% | 83.34% |
| Golden Eagles | Tricksters |
| 4.09% | 95.91% |
| Winged Hussars | Pegasus |
| 50.52% | 49.48% |
| The Death Eaters | Red Warriors |
| 16.54% | 83.46% |
| speed-demons | Necessary Roughness |
| 61.80% | 38.20% |
| Bling Bling | Not Lucky |
| 77.08% | 22.92% |
Week 13
| Team 1 | Team 2 |
|---|---|
| Kali Warriors | The Death Eaters |
| 65.59% | 34.41% |
| Golden Eagles | Winged Hussars |
| 30.49% | 69.51% |
| Red Warriors | Bling Bling |
| 42.69% | 57.31% |
| speed-demons | Tricksters |
| 15.87% | 84.13% |
| Necessary Roughness | Pegasus |
| 44.27% | 55.73% |
| Detroit Wolverines | Not Lucky |
| 91.93% | 8.07% |
Team Breakdowns by Division
Cerberus
| Team Name | Record | Division Rank | Overall Wins | Points For | PPG | PPG vs. League AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Warriors | 4-1 | 1 | 29-26 | 834.58 | 166.92 | 3.87 |
| Kali Warriors | 4-1 | 2 | 26-29 | 774.00 | 154.80 | -8.25 |
| The Death Eaters | 2-3 | 3 | 15-40 | 691.46 | 138.29 | -24.76 |
We are such a bad division. Luckiest division in the league, baby!
The Resistance
| Team Name | Record | Division Rank | Overall Wins | Points For | PPG | PPG vs. League AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tricksters | 4-1 | 1 | 44-11 | 1018.02 | 203.60 | 40.56 |
| Necessary Roughness | 2-3 | 2 | 23-32 | 792.94 | 158.59 | -4.46 |
| speed-demons | 1-4 | 3 | 28-27 | 836.54 | 167.31 | 4.26 |
The Tricksters this year are a serious force to be reckoned with. Super Bowl hangover? Pfft.
I would say the rest of their division isn’t great, but they still on average outperform Cerberus in PPG.
Division by Zero
| Team Name | Record | Division Rank | Overall Wins | Points For | PPG | PPG vs. League AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Wolverines | 4-1 | 1 | 45-10 | 924.44 | 184.89 | 21.84 |
| Bling Bling | 2-3 | 2 | 33-22 | 859.06 | 171.81 | 8.76 |
| Not Lucky | 1-4 | 3 | 18-37 | 713.72 | 142.74 | -20.30 |
Division by Zero isn’t quite the powerhouse division it was last season, but the Detroit Wolverines are at least doing their part to uphold the division’s fierce reputation. The Wolverines’ turnaround since the league’s inception has been exciting to watch; at one point early last season they were at the bottom of the Power Rankings for two straight weeks before climbing up and making the playoffs.
Now they look to be on a collision course with former champion the Tricksters in the postseason.
The High Flyers
| Team Name | Record | Division Rank | Overall Wins | Points For | PPG | PPG vs. League AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pegasus | 3-2 | 1 | 26-29 | 814.16 | 162.83 | -0.22 |
| Winged Hussars | 2-3 | 2 | 26-29 | 816.36 | 163.27 | 0.22 |
| Golden Eagles | 1-4 | 3 | 17-38 | 707.62 | 141.52 | -21.52 |
Each week as I look at the sad state of the High Flyers division, I have to remind myself that Pegasus made it to the championship game last season and nearly won. Once you’re in the playoffs, all bets are off. Despite this division underperforming, whoever gets that coveted divisional seed very well may be this year’s Super Bowl champs.
Luck Chart
Cerberus tops the chart as the undisputed luckiest division in the league. The Tricksters’ luck has bounced back to perfect balance, while division-mate speed-demons sits at the bottom with an unlucky 1-4 record.
Good luck in Week 6!